PHASE 02 — RISK MODEL
Confidentiality half-life × Q-Day probability curve × adversary interest. A prioritized migration backlog, not a checklist.
NOT EVERYTHING MIGRATES FIRST
You won't migrate your entire cryptographic estate at once. The question is: what first, what last, and why. Get that wrong and you burn a year on protocols that don't matter while your crown-jewel data keeps getting harvested.
MOSCA'S RULE · MADE ACTIONABLE
- 01
Data confidentiality half-life
How long does each data class need to remain secret? Weeks, years, or decades — decides the urgency.
- 02
Q-Day probability curve
Not a point estimate. A probability-weighted distribution across plausible timelines.
- 03
Adversary interest
Nation-state interest × accessibility × value. Not every system is a target.
- 04
The ranked backlog
Every asset scored, sorted, justified. Your first 20 migrations — and why those 20.
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